Summary:
Invest 97L has a 20% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone or depression in the next 48 hours and a 50% chance of becoming a system in the next 5 days.
97L is traveling to the west at 10 to 15 mph with winds of 30 mph.
Dry air is getting wrapped into the system at mid-levels inhibiting further development at this time.
Due to the broad low pressure area associated with this system it will take several days for it to organize, thus quick impulses in intensity are not expected.
Models are consolidating toward a turn toward the Northwest around the Atlantic High.
Elsewhere in the tropics an area off the Yucatan Peninsula is circled with a 20% chance for development in the next 48 hours and a 30% chance in the next 5 days.
This system is tracking West at 10 mph and forecast to reach the Bay of Campeche late tonight.
Once in the Bay of Campeche further development of this system is possible.
Steering flow would currently take this system away from Florida at this time.
In the deep tropics a third area of low pressure is being watched….Invest 98L.
Invest 98L has a 10% chance for development in the next 48 hours and a 20% chance in the upcoming 5 days.
This system will likely curve out to sea as it moves toward the Northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
Florida Outlook:
All interests in Florida should watch the tropics this week as there are several areas to keep an eye on.
No impacts to Florida are foreseen at this time.
The next few names on the 2013 Hurricane list are Gabrielle, Humberto, and Ingrid.
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